There is no question that we are living in very uncertain times (e.g., inflation, stock market volatility) and few things make people more uneasy than uncertainty about the future.
What to do? Below are eight suggested strategies to deal with uncertainty:
Check
Emotional Reactive Responses- People often make poor
decisions when they are emotionally stressed. The stressful event sucks up their
mental “bandwidth” and they can overlook viable options that are available to
them. A good way to “slow yourself down” and prevent hasty decisions is to develop
a personal habit of writing down three
possible ways to handle an uncertain situation and the pros and cons of each
option. Also take the time to conduct the research (online and/or via personal
contacts) necessary to inform the list of three options.
Develop
a Proactive Mindset- This means acknowledging, learning
about, and planning for possible future outcomes rather than ignoring the
possibility that they could happen. An example is retirement planning. Among
the uncertainties that older adults face (and younger adults need to plan for)
are longevity (having savings last a lifetime), health care risks, long-term
care expenses, the impact of inflation over time, and retirement savings
withdrawals.
Get
Comfortable Planning Again- When people are uncertain, they
often do….nothing. Like the proverbial “deer in the headlights,” there is a
tendency to “stand pat” and “see what happens.” Unfortunately, many people have
been in “financial limbo” for over two years. The key to start making plans
again is to “start small” with short-term goals such as a vacation in a nearby state
with the ability to cancel reservations without penalty beforehand, if
necessary. Of course, investing for long-term goals should, ideally, have been
occurring without interruption during the pandemic.
Build
Financial Resilience- Multiple sources of income can help. For
example, a salary or steady self-employment earnings, rental properties,
investment returns, and/or a “side hustle” (freelancing). Marketable job skills
that can be transferred to another work setting are also important. A third
resiliency resource is a low consumer debt-to-income ratio (total of monthly
payments ÷ net monthly income) and a fourth is an adequate emergency fund (3 to
6 months of essential living expenses). Finally, personal characteristics, such
as focus and optimism, are also resiliency resources.
Keep
History in Mind- The U.S. stock market and economy in
general have a long history of “bouncing back” after “shocks” including wars,
natural disasters, recessions, inflation, and political changes. The worst
20-year time frame return
for the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, a benchmark for large U.S. company
stocks, was 6.4% for the twenty years ending in May 1979. The worst 15-year time
frame return was 3.7% for the fifteen years ending in August 2015.
Have
an Investor’s Mindset- Be prepared, psychologically, to see
your net worth decline during stock market
downturns and plan to simply “ride it out” and stay invested. To avoid
having to pull money out of stocks at an inopportune time, place some money in
less volatile cash equivalent assets such as a money market fund. This is
especially important for retirees and asset segmenting is often referred to as
a “bucketing” strategy. Remember that a “paper loss” is very different than a
realized capital loss that occurs when investments are sold.
Make
Small Changes- If inflation or job changes are pinching
household finances, it is time to revisit cash flow. The most precise way to do
this is to track income and spending for a month or two and then calculate the
percentage of income spent on various expense categories such as housing and
gasoline. Many budgeting apps can do this math very efficiently. With data in
hand, the next step is to identify expense cutting strategies. Examples might
include ordering water with restaurant meals, eliminating a streaming service
(if you have several), and telecommuting one more day.
Get
Information and Support- In times of uncertainty and stress,
it is useful to hear the perspectives of other people. For example,
60-something baby boomers sharing their experiences with high inflation in the
late 1970s/early 1980s with young adults who are experiencing it for the first
time. Experts also recommend building and maintaining a social support network
(i.e., people who care about you) and reaching out to local non-profit and
government agencies for financial support, if needed. To find the names of
local non-profits, call 211 or visit www.211.org.
This post provides
general personal finance or consumer decision-making information and does not
address all the variables that apply to an individual’s unique situation. It does
not endorse specific products or services and should not be construed as legal
or financial advice. If professional assistance is required, the services of a
competent professional should be sought.